Monday, March 19, 2007

 

John Patrick Sessions Review - Comment on Bill Stone

I wanted to take a second to discuss Bill Stone again. It seems like I'm always getting emails from people about this "Bill Stone" character. I've written about his ebooks here, so it's natural that interested readers would reply about him.

Interstingly, some readers have been confused. Because of the sometimes satirical nature of this blog, some readers tend to believe I'm affiliated with the Bill Stone advice empire. That isn't the case. He really sucks and I suggest you avoid his con games.

There's a far larger group of readers who contact me, asking for my help in getting their money back from Bill Stone. He promises a 60- or 90-day money back guarantee, I can't remember which one. When people ask for their refund--and apparently a lot of people do--he ignores the request and doesn't pay.

I got an email the other day from someone who didn't get his crappy ebooks at all. The guy claimed he had been trying since "last year" to get his money back, but never get a reply. Unfortunately, there's nothing I can do to help this fellow get his money back. Those 40 to 50 bucks are gone.

All I can say is, prevention is the best cure.

Bill Stone sells advice on how to win the lottery. He has an ebook about spotting fake magic. Not stage magic, mind you, but fake magic. He once sent me spam about exciting new secrets for winning sure money from an online casino he claimed to have hacked into. This email ended with him signing his name with the title "vice president" of the same casino he had supposedly hacked into.

That's craziness, people. Don't fall for it.

Anyway, on to a recap of my latest slots sessions. This is from the vault, I'm afraid, back when online gambling was legal. You know, back in the days when everything was cool. Here's another installment of...Tales From Slot Systems.

My Down The Steps sessions were a real roller coaster ride. Using John Patrick's methods for "grinding out small wins", I ploughed ahead for five mighty sessions comprising 263 individual wagers. Three of the five sessions rank among my largest ones yet. In other words, going down the steps was gruelling stuff. You wouldn't think it would be.

Of my 263 wagers, 96 of them were wins. Of course, around half of those were simple break even "wins", where I won no more than I bet on the pull. Four of my sessions were losers. One was a big winner.

So what do I have to show for my efforts? -$1.95.

The money in my account when I started these sessions was $578.41. The money when I ended was $576.46. So I lost a buck ninety-five.

You know, that's not so bad if you look at it as entertainment dollars. It's cheaper than the cost of a premium Blockbuster rental. So I'm not complaining as a man who might have been looking for the thrill of a wager. As a student of the gambling science, I'm a little disappointed.

I'm supposed to grind out small wins. Instead, I grounded out small losses. That isn't what John Patrick promised.

In fact, my data would show that you almost never have small wins, but instead get lucky on one spins that makes up for all the small losing sessions you're having. Losing four out of five sessions is about standard. The wins on that fifth one almost make up for the losses on the other four. "Grinding out small wins" has not been my experience.

I'm certain John would say I'm not following his advice perfectly or something. He might even say my body of evidence is too small and that we are still within the standard deviation. That's all true, but I'm still right on this one.

The house has an edge. Some gamblers will win. Most will lose. In the end, you are pushing a button or pulling a lever. There is nothing (within the rules) you can do to increase the odds the jackpot will come up.

You can increase your odds playing poker. You can find games of blackjack and video poker in which you have a break even odds, or even a very slight advantage. I'm afraid you're not going to find slot machines with the same advantages.

I mean, know which machines give better odds than others. Know which jackpots to play and all that stuff. But I never read any of that in John Patrick's Slots. John Patrick's money management might save you a little money if you have trouble controlling yourself, but it won't teach you how to win.

John Patrick sells hope, not the secrets to success.

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